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June 11, 2003
CITY SLIDING DEEPER AND DEEPER INTO FINANCIAL MESS

On June 10, City financial staff outlined the extent of the capital budget crisis facing Hamilton. In a sane world, the report should have resulted in the immediate cancellation of the Red Hill Creek Expressway, although even that would only begin to resolve the massive shortfall the City faces over the next 10 years. We’ve summarized the major parts of the crisis below. All quotes are from the staff report.

The City needs to spend at least $1.55 billion on capital projects between now and 2012. Staff believe it can only afford to spend $1.08 billion, leaving a shortfall of nearly half a billion dollars.

These figures do not include any money to renovate or rebuild City Hall, or any for the $80-90 million for the Commonwealth Games, or any money for development near the airport or in existing City business parks. The Red Hill Creek Expressway is the only "economic development" expenditure in the $1.55 billion.

The list of needed projects includes only what is obvious today. It is inevitable that more needs will be identifed, especially in the later years of this 10-year prediction. For example, the ‘needs’ in 2003-2007 average $200 million a year, while the ‘needs’ in the 2008-2012 period only average $108.5 million.

In this year’s budget over $60 million in capital projects were "unaffordable". In 2004, the shortfall will be $101 million.

Where projects are deemed affordable much of this relies on borrowing. The City’s external debt will more than triple by 2007, from $210 million at the beginning of this year to $643 million four and a half years from now.

Throughout the next 10 years, the City will be forced to pay at least $46 million a year to service its debt. This is nearly one fifth of the annual spending controlled by Council and obviously imposes a huge restriction on all City budget decisions.

"The City’s state of roads, bridges, buildings, parks, arenas, water/sewer mains and fleet is rapidly aging as Hamilton faces an annual infrastructure gap estimated at $50 million per year". Postponing maintenance of this infrastructure will simply increase the ultimate bill. "We can pay now or we can a lot more later!"

"The City does not have any existing reserves for capital building replacements, like roads and facilities." "Reserves declined by $110 million since 2000."

"Building brand new capital projects or expansion of existing facilities will often have operating budget impacts that lead to higher taxes. Development Charges can not be used to fund these costs."

"Two major projects – Red Hill Valley and the Solid Waste Management Master Plan – dominate the capital budget and will utilize a large proportion of the City’s available capital financing." The expressway project will use almost 13% of the total capital spending over the next 10 years, more than 10 times the amount allocated to downtown Hamilton, and more than four times the total allocated to parks.

The fiscal problems are profound. Not only is there no money for one-third of the needed projects, but in addition the massive borrowing to pay for the other two-thirds is threatening the City’s credit rating. On top of that, the projected needs are clearly underestimated. The City is also assuming that it can borrow money at a rate of only 4% through Opportunity Bonds that have been proposed by the Eves government but not yet adopted.

The staff report put forward various options to reduce (but not eliminate) the funding shortfall. These include tax increases, borrowing from the Hamilton Future Fund, and delaying the implementation of a policy to stop further borrowing after 2008. The scheme to borrow from the "Future Fund" is particularly poignant since this fund consists entirely of borrowed money. The money was borrowed by Hamilton Utilities by mortgaging the hydro infrastructure that had already been paid for by Hamilton Hydro customers. Those customers are now being forced to repay this debt (pay for the infrastructure a second time).

After the staff presentation, I asked councillors Collins, Jackson, D’Amico and Merulla how they could continue to support the spending on the expressway. They laughed and suggested I ‘lighten up’ and enjoy the summer.

Don


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