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October 1999 Newsletter

Submission to Panel by Chair of Friends

The written submission made by the chairperson of Friends of Red Hill Valley suggested specific alterations to approximately 70 sections or sub-sections of the Draft EIS Guidelines document. Many of these recommendations were intended to make more precise the requirements imposed on the Region.

Major items were the full evaluation of alternatives, the inclusion of socio-economic impacts especially to vulnerable populations, the inclusion of an examination of the Region's financial capabilities, and amendments to ensure that the time and space boundaries of the environmental assessment are adequate. The following is a brief excerpt from the 11,000 word submission:

We also strongly recommend to the Panel that the precautionary principle be applied very specifically to socio-economic impacts.

This Project is the single largest and most expensive one ever undertaken by the Regional Municipality of Hamilton-Wentworth. It will have dramatic effects on this community for decades to come and we need to ensure that those effects are understood and accounted for.

For example, it appears likely that approval of the proposed Project will lead to significant deterioration in adjacent neighbourhoods such as Rosedale (as occurred in the Beach Strip community with the opening of the QEW), heavy impacts on commercial areas in lower Hamilton (for example, the opening of the Lincoln Alexander Parkway has already resulted in a huge shift in shopping to the Meadowlands area of Ancaster, including by many residents of lower east Hamilton), further deterioration (perhaps fatal) to the commercial health of the central business district, further significant deterioration in the reputation of Hamilton and the Region with regards to quality of life and attractiveness to new business, and significant growth in usage of vehicles.

North Americans are beginning to understand what has been obvious to Europeans for a long time - that building more roads generates induced traffic. We draw your attention to a study released in 1998 which evaluated the relationship between highway expansion and congestion in 70 communities over a 15 year period. The study concluded that metro areas that invested heavily in road capacity expansion fared no better in easing congestion than metro areas that did not. Indeed, communities that invested heavily actually ended up with higher congestion costs. This result is in line with a growing understanding of the phenomena of induced traffic.

We have a very specific experience in Hamilton-Wentworth which bears this out. In October 1997, the Proponent opened the Lincoln Alexander Parkway, a 12 kilometre east-west expressway on Hamilton Mountain. An analysis of traffic flows before and after the addition of this facility shows that it induced an increase in east-west traffic of over 20% in the first year of operation.
Evidence for this is found in the annual "Hamilton-Wentworth Traffic Volumes" reports produced by the City of Hamilton.

Using a Central Mountain Screenline running parallel to and just east of Upper Wellington Street, a calculation can be made from these annual reports of the total number of vehicles crossing this screenline on a daily basis (the analysis uses all major east-west arteries including Concession, Queensdale, Fennell, Mohawk, Limeridge, Stone Church and Rymal, as well as the Lincoln Alexander Parkway).

The total east-west flows in 1994 were a little over 119,000 vehicles per day. In 1995 this total rose to between 122,000 and 123,000. It remained in this range in 1996. In 1997, the Lincoln Alexander Parkway was opened (which resulted in partial closings on Limeridge Road). With this facility included, the total east-west flows across the Central Mountain Screenline rose to nearly 151,000 in 1998.

This increase of more than 28,000 east-west vehicle trips per day corresponds to a 23% increase in vehicle usage. The Proponent apparently did not anticipate or calculate for this induced traffic.
This is evidenced by their surprise that the daily flows on the new expressway were more than double what they had predicted. They had anticipated flows of 25,000 vehicles per day, but the 1998 data shows nearly 59,000 actually using the facility on a daily basis.

The increase in east-west traffic between 1996 and 1998 was accompanied by a smaller increase (about 8%) in traffic flows crossing the escarpment within the cities of Hamilton and Stoney Creek (primarily in the off-peak periods).

The growth in total east-west traffic flows was also reflected in substantial traffic increases on all north-south Mountain streets connecting to the interchanges of the new expressway.

Traffic flows near the expressway on Upper Wentworth rose 70% and on Upper Gage by 63%. Increases of about 30% were also seen on Garth and Upper Wellington (even though the latter does not have an interchange with the Lincoln Alexander Parkway).

There were smaller increases on Upper James and Upper Sherman and decreases were recorded on Upper Ottawa (down 15%) and Upper Paradise (down 30%), both major arteries that do not have interchanges with the new expressway.

This information shows that the implications for traffic flow on major arteries and residential streets near the proposed Project must be evaluated in the Panel Review....


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