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October 1999 Newsletter

Health Canada Criticizes Air Quality Study

Health Canada has joined the chorus of criticism of the Region's air quality studies carried out last year by RWDI (Rowan Williams Irwin & Davies). These studies were analysed and strongly condemned last fall by Tom Muir, Dr. David Pengelly and Dr. Brian McCarry. Their criticisms were reported in the Spectator in December 1998, but the promised response from the Region has never materialised.

The Health Canada critique is dated June 1999 and has been made available on the Public Registry of the federal environmental assessment. It states in part: "By and large, the report by RWDI on air quality appears to be an attempt to look at a very complex issue with a simple framework. As a result, many assumptions are made of a questionable nature and supporting data is drawn from inappropriate sources. Specific comments addressing many of these inadequacies are delineated in the comments of others already presented including such things as vehicle traffic density and composition, baseline air quality, comparison of predictions for the Expressway to measurements for Highway 404 to show the conservativeness of the modelling, and some other issues discussed in detail by Tom Muir. All of these assumptions reduce the confidence in the resulting data and the subsequent analysis of health impacts conducted by Cantox."

The Health Canada expert further notes that "some of the assumptions used by RWDI are inappropriate and would lead to an underestimation of the emissions expected from the Expressway. I think the chief one relates to the assumption about speed on the Expressway, wherein the traffic is assumed to move at the speed limit without congestion. Congestion will occur and the speed limit will be exceeded, both of which will lead to increases in the emissions for the roadway. This will result in an underestimation of the health effects for the Expressway."

The study goes on to criticise "the absence of an analysis of the relative benefits of providing alternate forms of transportation, i.e. expansion of mass transit vs. the building of a roadway." The expert notes that it is well-known that building new roads "encourages the use of personal vehicles for discretionary and non-discretionary trips and in the end will increase vehicle usage and thus the regional emissions profile".

The study also argues that the effects of the expressway on climate change should be evaluated. "Many of the steps required to address climate change will necessitate local actions and in order to properly examine the impact of this project, this issue needs to be addressed. Both the provision of new roadways AND the removal of a significant green space and tens of thousands of trees have impacts that need to be viewed from a climate change perspective."

The RWDI study suggested various ways of reducing expressway air pollution, such as frequent street cleaning. The Health Canada report declares that these mitigation strategies "are at best of limited benefit, and in the manner presented give a false impression that they would reduce the impacts of the expressway", and goes on to note that they "will have minimal impact on particulates of relevance to human health".

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